Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Statistical Probabilities

What are the statistical probabilities that an extremist organization of only a few year's standing, which had already developed the reputation for targeting Christian missionaries by 1995, would luck out when attacking the up-scale resort Dos Palmas in 2001, where Martin and Gracia Burnham, missionaries from the state of Kansas, would happen to be celebrating their wedding anniversary?

July 4, 1995, The Straits Times / UPI, p.14, Teachers Transferred,
Muslim bandits who kidnapped three teachers in the southern Philippines last week had turned over its hostages to a Muslim extremist group, the education authorities in Zamboanga yesterday said.
Education regional director Miguel Garcia said the teachers had been transferred to a camp of the Abu Sayyaf group in Sampinit, Basilan, 880 km south of Manila.--UPI.

July 6, 1995, The Straits Times, p.16, Trio Freed,
The military stormed a Muslim guerilla hideout in the southern Philippines on Tuesday, freeing three kidnapped teachers and killing one of their captors, the presidential palace announced in Manila.
The three were seized by Muslim bandits a week ago. The bandits later turned their captives over to the Abu Sayyaf, an extremist guerilla group linked to the bombing of Christian targets and the kidnapping of foreign missionaries.---AFP.

As Basilan Rep. Gerry Salapuddin said in reference to a mass hostage taking just prior to, and overlapping, the the Dos Palmas kidnapping:
"For God's sake, what would they get from the teachers, a priest and schoolchildren if they want money? These teachers are receiving meager salaries (minus) all the loans that they are paying," he said.
[See: March 25, 2000, The Philippine Daily Inquirer, page 17, Sayyaf head a gov't agent, says legislator, by Nash B. Maulana]

Dos Palmas rates

Peak Season Rates

An additional of PhP1,000.00 per person will be charged for every 2-night package, regardless of package and type of accomodation and an additional charge of PhP500.00 per person will be added per additional night. This rate will apply during the following periods:

Christmas/ New Year - December 17 to January 10, 2001
Chinese New Year - January 17-31, 2001
Holy Week/Easter - April 6-16, 2001

Regular Package
Valid from November 1, 2000 up to October 31, 2001
ADULT SHARING9,0004,2507,0003,250
3RD/ 4THADULT6,0002,7506,0002,750
CHILD SHARING WITH 2 ADULTS4,5002,0004,5002,000
SINGLE ADULT IN ROOM12,0005,75010,000

  • Rates are per person in Philippine Pesos
  • Rates are inclusive of 10% Service Charge
  • Child Rate for ages 3-12 years old
  • The Package Rate includes:
Welcome drink
Two (2) nights accomodation as indicated
Six (6) meals (2 breakfast, 2 lunch, 2 dinner)
Use of land recreational facilities
Round-trip transfers, airport/pier to resort and vice versa
  • Extra Night rate also includes three (3) meals
  • Rates do not include laundry, drinks, and other incidental expenses
  • Rates do not include use of marine sports equipment

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